The Big 'Do Averages make a difference to youth pull' Survey V2

[Zorax]

Admire your persistence with this James!

[James018]

Admire your persistence with this James!

More habit than persistence, really! I'm not sure if or when I'll get to properly analysing these numbers, don't have the time to put in right now, but it's literally 30 seconds every Wednesday to post this, not too difficult.

[James018]

Batting average 59.64, current 13, potential 17.
Bowling average 69.01, current 3, potential 28.
Fielding average 0.13, current 0, potential 8.
Characteristics: Bullet arm

[James018]

Batting average 40.31, current 6, potential 23.
Bowling average 38.39, current 13, potential 39.
Fielding average 0.15, current 0, potential 12.
Characteristics: Iceman, Economical

[James018]

Batting average 21.77, current 5, potential 22.
Bowling average 14.50, current 12, potential 25.
Fielding average 0.11, current 0, potential 12.
Characteristics: Death bowler, Opener

[James018]

Batting average 24.08, current 1, potential 15.
Bowling average 27.17, current 11, potential 32.
Fielding average 0.15, current 3, potential 12.
Characteristics: Crowd pleaser

[James018]

Batting average 20.00, current 4, potential 37.
Bowling average 46.77, current 8, potential 25.
Fielding average 2.23 (keeper), current 7, potential 15.
Characteristics: Flight and guile, Strike rotator

[ashok36]

Great job James. As far as I'm concerned and based on my personal observations and calculations, 45% to 55% of the weekly pulled scouts do make a difference, be it batting average or bowling average. If I take a median, it's 50% each, but, I would give 52% for the "Yes, the averages do have impact" result. I hope this info helps you.

Ashok.
Indolent Devils.

[James018]

Thanks very much! The purpose of listing a large number of youth pulls is that, eventually, I will be able to do an unbiased statistical analysis on them to determine whether and (perhaps more importantly) how much difference the averages make. That will be more reliable than simply making guesses based on what we have observed, which are sometimes inaccurate.

Having said that, in my time tracking my team's youth pulls, I've noticed what I think is a very major correlation between players' averages and their current skills, but not their potentials. If I had to guess, I would say that averages only indirectly affect potential, in that a player's potential is always more than their current skill, so higher current skill means a higher minimum potential.

But we'll see what the numbers tell when I have time to analyse them properly.

[ashok36]

Thanks very much! The purpose of listing a large number of youth pulls is that, eventually, I will be able to do an unbiased statistical analysis on them to determine whether and (perhaps more importantly) how much difference the averages make. That will be more reliable than simply making guesses based on what we have observed, which are sometimes inaccurate.

Having said that, in my time tracking my team's youth pulls, I've noticed what I think is a very major correlation between players' averages and their current skills, but not their potentials. If I had to guess, I would say that averages only indirectly affect potential, in that a player's potential is always more than their current skill, so higher current skill means a higher minimum potential.

But we'll see what the numbers tell when I have time to analyse them properly.

First of all, I made those calculations based on number of pulls posted by you and my individual observations. The percentage range of 45% to 55%, is achieved as a combo of both these values.

Secondly, I had +4% data on the side of averages having higher positive skill impact. So, I added half of it, that's 2% to the 50%, making it slightly more favorable at 52%.

As with any calculation, a +-3% error might be observed here as well, but I assume that my ballpark number, will match just the same as yours. I am 95% confident of it.